Impact of large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines on the drought-flood conditions of central and eastern China during AD 1500-2000
Zhang Kun-Jia1,2, Chen Si-Ying1,2, Su Yun1,2
1 Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster,Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China; 2 Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China
Abstract：Abstract Large volcanic eruption is an important driving factor for climate change that can cause variations in rainfall or even extreme drought/flood in China. Because of the short distance,the study on the relationship between large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines and China's distribution pattern of drought and flood helps to explain how drought/flood occurs in China,and the conclusions of which can serve as reference for precipitation prediction after volcanic eruption in the future. In this paper,according to the chronology of large volcanic eruptions in the world and drought/flood recorded data in China during AD 1500-2000, the method of Super Epoch Analysis is used to identify the interannualchange of drought/flood after large volcanic eruptions,and the case study of the Tambora Volcanic eruption in 1815 is done. The conclusions show that large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines area can affect the distribution pattern of drought/flood in China. In the first two years after the eruptions,most sites in central and eastern China tend to flood. In the 3rd year,there is an overall shift towards drought,and the variation degree is larger than that of other years. In terms of the regions,there is a change from drought to flood in North China after the eruptions,while there is a change from flood to drought in South China. These changes last about 2~3 years,before the two regions resume the pre-eruption drought/flood conditions. In the first three years after the eruption of Tambora in 1815,China was dominated by flood,but the area where floods occurred was changing year by year. In 1815 and 1816,floods mainly occurred in the Yangtze River Basin and its north,while in 1817 floods mainly occurred in the Yangtze River Basin and its south. In 1818,the flooding area was the largest.
Zhang Kun-Jia,Chen Si-Ying,Su Yun. Impact of large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines on the drought-flood conditions of central and eastern China during AD 1500-2000[J]. JOPC, 2020, 22(1): 193-206.
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