Impact of large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines on the drought-flood conditions of central and eastern China during AD 1500-2000
Zhang Kun-Jia1,2, Chen Si-Ying1,2, Su Yun1,2
1 Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster,Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China; 2 Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China
Abstract Abstract Large volcanic eruption is an important driving factor for climate change that can cause variations in rainfall or even extreme drought/flood in China. Because of the short distance,the study on the relationship between large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines and China's distribution pattern of drought and flood helps to explain how drought/flood occurs in China,and the conclusions of which can serve as reference for precipitation prediction after volcanic eruption in the future. In this paper,according to the chronology of large volcanic eruptions in the world and drought/flood recorded data in China during AD 1500-2000, the method of Super Epoch Analysis is used to identify the interannualchange of drought/flood after large volcanic eruptions,and the case study of the Tambora Volcanic eruption in 1815 is done. The conclusions show that large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines area can affect the distribution pattern of drought/flood in China. In the first two years after the eruptions,most sites in central and eastern China tend to flood. In the 3rd year,there is an overall shift towards drought,and the variation degree is larger than that of other years. In terms of the regions,there is a change from drought to flood in North China after the eruptions,while there is a change from flood to drought in South China. These changes last about 2~3 years,before the two regions resume the pre-eruption drought/flood conditions. In the first three years after the eruption of Tambora in 1815,China was dominated by flood,but the area where floods occurred was changing year by year. In 1815 and 1816,floods mainly occurred in the Yangtze River Basin and its north,while in 1817 floods mainly occurred in the Yangtze River Basin and its south. In 1818,the flooding area was the largest.
Fund:; Co-funded by the National Key Research and Development Program launched by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(No.2018YFA0605602)and the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41430528)
Corresponding Authors:
Su Yun,born in 1974,obtained her PhD degree from Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences in 2002. Now she is a professor of Physical Geography at Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University. Her main research field is climate change and its impact. E-mail: suyun@bnu.edu.cn.
About author: Zhang Kun-Jia,born in 1990,obtained her master's degree from Faculty of Geographical Science in Beijing Normal University in 2017. Currently she works at the 15th Middle School in Beijing as a secondary school teacher. E-mail: zhangkunjia1990@163.com.
Cite this article:
Zhang Kun-Jia,Chen Si-Ying,Su Yun. Impact of large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines on the drought-flood conditions of central and eastern China during AD 1500-2000[J]. JOPC, 2020, 22(1): 193-206.
Zhang Kun-Jia,Chen Si-Ying,Su Yun. Impact of large volcanic eruptions in Indonesia-Philippines on the drought-flood conditions of central and eastern China during AD 1500-2000[J]. JOPC, 2020, 22(1): 193-206.
[1] 李靖. 2005. 近一千年世界火山活动与中国旱涝分布的关系. 中国气象科学研究院硕士学位论文. [Li J.2005. The Statistical Relationship between the Volcanism of the World in the Past 1000 Years and Precipitation in China. Master's Thesis of Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences] [2] 李靖,张德二. 2005. 火山活动对气候的影响. 气象科技, 33(3): 193-198. [Li J,Zhang D E.2005. Impact of volcanic eruptions on climate. Meteorological Science and Technology, 33(3): 193-198] [3] 李晓东,王绍武,黄建平. 1993. 火山喷发对气候影响信号的检测. 应用气象学报, 4(4): 458-467. [Li X D,Wang S W,Huang J P.1993. Signal detection of volcanic impact on climate. Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology, 4(4): 458-467] [4] 李玉尚. 2009. 黄海鲱的丰歉与1816年之后的气候突变: 兼论印尼坦博拉火山爆发的影响. 学术界, (5): 42-55. [Li Y S.2009. The harvest condition of Huanghai herring and the abrupt climatic change after 1816 and the impact of the tambora eruption in Indonesia. Academics, (5): 42-45] [5] 刘永强,李月洪,贾朋群. 1993. 低纬和中高纬度火山爆发与中国旱涝的联系. 气象, 19(11): 3-7. [Liu Y Q,Li Y H,Jia P Q.1993. A comparative analysis of effect of volcanic eruptions at low and mid-high latitudes on drought/flood in China. Meteorological Monthly, 19(11): 3-7] [6] 王默存. 2005.1815年的世界梦魇: 坦博拉火山大爆发. 大科技, (3): 159-161. [Wang M C.2005. The World Nightmare of 1815: The big explosion of Tambora volcano. Super Science, (3): 156-161] [7] 王绍武,赵宗慈. 1979. 近五百年中国旱涝史料的分析. 地理学报, 34(4): 329-341. [Wang S W,Zhao Z C.1979. An analyses of historical data of droughts and floods in last 500 years in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 34(4): 329-341] [8] 徐群. 1986.1980年夏季中国天气气候反常和St.Helens火山爆发的影响. 气象学报, 44(4): 426-432. [Xu Q.1986. The abnormal weather of China for summer 1980 and its relationship with the volcanic eruptions of St. Helens. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 44(4): 426-432] [9] 杨煜达,满志敏,郑景云. 2005. 嘉庆云南大饥荒(1815—1817)与坦博拉火山喷发. 复旦学报(社会科学版), (1): 79-85. [Yang Y D,Man Z M,Zheng J Y.2005. A serious famine in Yunnan(1815—1817)and the eruption of Tambola Volcano. Fudan Journal(Social Science Edition), (1): 79-85] [10] 张德二. 1994. 中国三千年气象记录总集. 南京: 凤凰出版社. [Zhang D E. 1994. A collection of meteorological records for the past 3000 years in China. Nanjing: Phoenix Publishing House] [11] 张德二,刘传志. 1993. 《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》续补(1980—1992年). 气象, 19(11): 41-45. [Zhang D E,Liu C Z.1993. Complementary data of the yearly charts of dryness/wetness in China for the last 500 years period(1980-1992). Meteorological Monthly, 19(11): 41-45] [12] 张德二,李小泉,梁有叶. 2003. 《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》的再续补(1993—2000年). 应用气象学报, 14(3): 379-388. [Zhang D E,Li X Q,Liang Y Y.2003. Complementary data of the yearly charts of dryness/wetness in China for the last 500 years period(1993-2000). Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology, 14(3): 379-388] [13] 张富国,张先恭. 1994. 全球不同区域火山爆发与中国夏季旱涝的关系. 自然灾害学报, 3(1): 40-46. [Zhang F G,Zhang X G.1994. The relation between large volcanic eruption in the world and the drought/flood in summer in China. Journal of Natural Disaster, 3(1): 40-46] [14] 张先恭,张富国. 1985. 火山活动与中国旱涝、冷暖的关系. 气象学报, 43(2): 196-207. [Zhang X G,Zhang F G.1985. The relationship between large volcanic eruptions and the dryness/wetness and cold/warm in China. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 43(2): 196-207] [15] 卓志红. 2015. 火山硫酸盐气溶胶对东亚季风降水的影响. 浙江大学硕士学位论文. [Zhuo Z H.2015. Effect of Volcanic Sulfate Aerosols on East Asia Monsoon Precipitation. Master's Thesis of Zhejiang University] [16] Adams J B,Mann M E,Ammann C M.2003. Proxy evidence for an El Nino-like response to volcanic forcing. Nature, 426(6964): 274-278. [17] Breitenmoser P,Beer J,Brönnimann S,Frank D,Steinhilber F,Wanner H.2011. Solar and volcanic fingerprints in tree-ring chronologies over the past 2000 years. Palaeogeography,Palaeoclimatology,Palaeoecology, 313: 127-139. [18] Gillett N P,Weaver A J,Zwiers F W,Wehner M F.2004. Detection of volcanic influence on global precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 31(12): 577-588. [19] Haurwitz M W,Brier G W.1981. A critique of the superposed epoch analysis method: Its application to solar-weather relations. Monthly Weather Review, 109(10): 2074-2079. [20] Iles C E,Hegerl G C,Schurer A P,Zhang X B.2013. The effect of volcanic eruptions on global precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118(16): 8770-8786. [21] Mass C,Portman D.1989. Major volcanic eruptions and climate: A critical evaluation. Journal of Climate, 2(6): 566-593. [22] Robock A,Oppenheimer C.2003. Volcanism and the earth's atmosphere. Boston: The American Geophysical Union. [23] Peng Y B,Shen C M,Wang W C,Xu Y.2010. Response of summer precipitation over eastern China to large volcanic eruptions. Journal of Climate, 23(3): 818-824.