实用肿瘤学杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 493-499.doi: 10.11904/j.issn.1002-3070.2025.06.006

• 治疗质量专题 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于潜变量增长曲线模型的乳腺癌治疗质量纵向评价及影响因素分析

武金亚, 栗景坤, 郭玲琪, 姚慧鑫, 刘美娜   

  1. 哈尔滨医科大学公共卫生学院卫生统计学教研室(哈尔滨 150081)
  • 收稿日期:2025-02-11 修回日期:2025-04-02 出版日期:2025-12-28 发布日期:2026-01-13
  • 通讯作者: 刘美娜,E-mail:liumeina369@163.com
  • 作者简介:武金亚,男,(1999—),硕士研究生,从事治疗质量评价的研究。
  • 基金资助:
    1.国家自然科学基金(编号:82173614);2.潍坊市中央财政支持公立医院改革与高质量发展示范项目(编号:ZFCG-2024-0000505)

Longitudinal evaluation of breast cancer treatment quality and analysis of influencing factors based on latent variable growth curve model

WU Jinya, LI Jingkun, GUO Lingqi, YAO Huixin, LIU Meina   

  1. Department of Biostatistics,Public Health College of Harbin Medical University,Harbin 150081,China
  • Received:2025-02-11 Revised:2025-04-02 Online:2025-12-28 Published:2026-01-13

摘要: 目的 利用乳腺癌治疗质量评价指标,基于潜变量增长曲线模型(latent growth curve model,LGCM)分析乳腺癌治疗质量的纵向趋势及影响因素,为改善乳腺癌治疗质量提供依据。方法 收集2021年1月1日—2023年1月1日中国医院乳腺癌患者的病历资料;基于课题组前期建立的浸润性乳腺癌治疗质量评价指标体系,利用19个乳腺癌治疗质量评价指标,计算医院指标使用率和医院治疗质量综合得分;基于LGCM,使用模型参数(截距和斜率)评价治疗质量纵向趋势,并将协变量纳入模型,分析其对变化趋势的影响。结果 获得国内340家医院水平信息、104 812例乳腺癌患者的病历资料。在19个乳腺癌治疗质量评价指标中,340家医院的病理报告记录肿瘤直径指标使用率最高(97.84%±9.73%),术后出现并发症指标使用率最低(1.91%±8.38%);医院乳腺癌治疗质量综合得分中位数(四分位数)为0.475(0.348,0.596)。乳腺癌治疗质量纵向趋势分析结果显示,医院乳腺癌治疗质量综合得分随时间变化呈上升趋势,截距方差为0.022(P<0.001),斜率方差为0.001(P<0.001),差异均有统计学意义。乳腺癌治疗质量趋势变化的影响因素分析结果显示,医院所属地区、医院等级和医院年平均诊疗人次对研究期间乳腺癌治疗质量初始综合得分的影响有统计学意义(P<0.05),医院医疗保险类型占比无统计学意义(P=0.307);医院所属地区(P=0.854)、医院等级(P=0.472)、医院医疗保险类型占比(P=0.053)和医院年平均诊疗人次(P=0.569)对乳腺癌治疗质量综合得分趋势变化的影响均无统计学意义。结论 2021年中国乳腺癌治疗质量及3年的变化速度存在医院间差异,整体呈不断上升的趋势,证明乳腺癌的诊疗过程在不断规范和完善。为进一步提高乳腺癌治疗质量,要重点关注西部、北部地区医院、二级医院及乳腺癌平均诊疗人次较少的医院。

关键词: 乳腺癌, 治疗质量, 潜变量增长曲线模型, 变化趋势

Abstract: Objective The evaluation indicators of breast cancer treatment quality were used to analyze the longitudinal trend and influencing factors of breast cancer treatment quality based on the latent growth curve models(LGCM),so as to provide a basis for improving the treatment quality of breast cancer. Methods The medical records of breast cancer patients in Chinese hospitals from January 1,2021 to January 1,2023 were collected.Based on the evaluation index system for treatment quality of invasive breast cancer established by the research group in the early stage,19 evaluation indexes of breast cancer treatment quality were used to calculate the utilization rate of hospital indicators and the comprehensive scores of treatment quality.Based on LGCM,model parameters(intercept and slope)were used to evaluate the longitudinal trend of breast cancer treatment quality,and incorporate covariates into the model to evaluate their impact on the changing trend. Results The level information of 340 hospitals in China and the medical records of 104,812 breast cancer patients were obtained.Among 19 breast cancer treatment quality indicators,340 hospitals had the highest utilization rate(97.84%±9.73%)for the indicators of tumor diameter recorded in the pathological report,and the lowest utilization rate(1.91%±8.38%)for the indicators of postoperative complications;The median(quartile)of the comprehensive score for breast cancer treatment quality in the hospital was 0.475(0.348,0.596).The longitudinal trend analysis for treatment quality of breast cancer showed that the comprehensive scores for treatment quality of breast cancer in hospital showed an upward trend with time,the variance of intercept was 0.022(P<0.001),and the variance of slope was 0.001(P<0.001).The differences were statistically significant.The analysis of influencing factors on the trend of breast cancer treatment quality showed that the influence of the hospital region,the hospital level and the annual average number of people diagnosed and treated by the hospital on the initial comprehensive scores for treatment quality of breast cancer during the study period was statistically significant(P<0.05),and the proportion of hospital medical insurance types was not statistically significant(P=0.307).The influence of hospital region(P=0.854),hospital level(P=0.472),the proportion of hospital medical insurance types(P=0.053),and the annual average number of hospital visits(P=0.569)on the trend of comprehensive scores of breast cancer treatment quality was not statistically significant. Conclusions In 2021,the treatment quality of breast cancer in China and the rate of change in three years are different among hospitals,and the overall trend is rising,which proves that the diagnosis and treatment process of breast cancer is constantly standardized and improved.In order to further improve the treatment quality of breast cancer,it is necessary to focus on hospitals in Western and Northern regions,secondary hospitals and hospitals with less average diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer.

Key words: breast cancer, quality of treatment, latent variable growth curve model, change trends

中图分类号: