实用肿瘤学杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (6): 507-514.doi: 10.11904/j.issn.1002-3070.2025.06.008

• 癌情监测 • 上一篇    下一篇

2004—2021年中国女性宫颈癌疾病负担变化趋势分析

刘燕青1, 张金丽2   

  1. 1.滕州市妇幼保健院(滕州市儿童医院)医教部(滕州 277599);
    2.滕州市妇幼保健院(滕州市儿童医院)妇女群体保健科
  • 收稿日期:2025-04-07 修回日期:2025-11-26 出版日期:2025-12-28 发布日期:2026-01-13
  • 通讯作者: 刘燕青,E-mail:13516322250@163.com
  • 作者简介:刘燕青,男,(1989—),硕士,主治医师,从事妇幼健康管理、人群流行病学和卫生统计学相关的研究。

Analysis for the changing trend of cervical cancer disease burden among Chinese women from 2004 to 2021

LIU Yanqing1, ZHANG Jinli2   

  1. 1. Medical Education Department,Tengzhou Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital(Tengzhou Children′s Hospital),Tengzhou 277599,China;
    2. Women′s Health Department,Tengzhou Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital(Tengzhou Children′s Hospital)
  • Received:2025-04-07 Revised:2025-11-26 Online:2025-12-28 Published:2026-01-13

摘要: 目的 探讨中国女性宫颈癌死亡的流行病学特征及其对寿命和劳动力损失的影响,为制定有针对性的宫颈癌防治策略提供科学依据。方法 研究数据源于2004—2021年《中国死因监测数据集》中的宫颈癌死亡个案及人口学资料。采用Joinpoint回归模型,对宫颈癌死亡率、潜在减寿年数(potential years of life lost,PYLL)、平均潜在减寿年数(average potential years of life lost,APYLL)、潜在工作损失年(work years of potential life lost,WYPLL)以及平均潜在工作损失年(average work years of potential life lost,AWYPLL)进行趋势分析,计算年度变化百分比(annual percentage change,APC)和平均年度变化百分比(average annual percentage change,AAPC)。结果 2004—2021年中国女性宫颈癌年均死亡率为4.65/10万,农村死亡率(4.85/10万)高于城市(4.26/10万),差异有统计学意义(χ2=244.322,P<0.001)。2004—2021年,中国女性宫颈癌总体死亡率呈上升趋势(AAPC=3.89%,P=0.021)。分时段分析显示,2012—2015年上升趋势最为明显(APC=25.53%,P=0.024)。农村死亡率高于城市,且随年份呈上升趋势(AAPC=4.34%,P=0.005),城市死亡率变化趋势无统计学意义(P=0.311)。宫颈癌年龄别死亡率随年龄增长逐渐上升,50岁以后明显增加,整体、农村及城市均在≥85岁组达到最高值。2004—2021年宫颈癌PYLL为1 283 829.79年,APYLL为20.51人年,其中农村PYLL为866 304.72年、APYLL为20.12人年,城市PYLL为417 525.07年、APYLL为21.36人年,整体、农村及城市APYLL随年份变化均呈下降趋势(AAPC分别为-1.33%、-1.35%及-1.35%,P<0.001)。同时期WYPLL为197 579年,AWYPLL为7.83人年,其中农村WYPLL为130 083年、AWYPLL为7.78人年,城市WYPLL为67 496年、AWYPLL为7.93人年,整体、农村及城市AWYPLL随年份均呈下降趋势(AAPC=-2.24%、-2.53%及-1.72%,P<0.001)。结论 2004—2021年中国女性宫颈癌疾病负担总体较重,死亡率呈上升趋势,但其导致的寿命及工作损失逐年下降。50岁及以上中老年女性仍是重点防控人群,农村是重点防控地区,未来需持续探索适宜的宫颈癌综合防控模式,以降低疾病负担。

关键词: 宫颈癌, 死亡率, 潜在减寿年数, 潜在工作损失年, 疾病负担

Abstract: Objective The aim of this study was to investigate the epidemiological characteristics of cervical cancer mortality in Chinese women and its impact on lifespan and labor loss,so as to provide scientific basis for the development of targeted cervical cancer prevention and control strategies. Methods Data were sourced from the “Chinese Cause of Death Surveillance Dataset” from 2004 to 2021,including cervical cancer mortality cases and demographic data.Joinpoint regression models were used to analyze trends of cervical cancer mortality,potential years of life lost(PYLL),average potential years of life lost(APYLL),work years of potential life lost(WYPLL),and average work years of potential life lost(AWYPLL).The annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)were calculated. Results The average annual mortality of cervical cancer among Chinese women from 2004 to 2021 was 4.65/100,000,with a significantly higher rate in rural areas(4.85/100,000)than that in urban areas(4.26/100,000),and the difference was statistically significant(χ2=244.322,P<0.001).The overall mortality of cervical cancer among Chinese women from 2004 to 2021 showed an upward(AAPC=3.89%,P=0.021).Time period analysis showed that the upward trend was most significant from 2012 and 2015(APC=25.53%,P=0.024).The mortality in rural areas was higher than that in urban areas,and it showed an upward trend over the years(AAPC=4.34%,P=0.005),while the trend of urban mortality change was not statistically significant(P=0.311).The age-specific mortality gradually increased with age,and significantly increased after the age of 50.The overall,rural,and urban populations reached their highest values in the age group ≥85 years old.From 2004 to 2021,the potential years of life lost(PYLL)due to cervical cancer was 1,283,829.79 years,with an average PYLL(APYLL)of 20.51 person-years.The PYLL in rural areas was 866,304.72 years(APYLL:20.12 person-years),while in urban areas it was 417,525.07 years(APYLL:21.36 person-years).The APYLL for the overall population,rural areas,and urban areas all showed a declining trend over time(AAPC:-1.33%,-1.35%,and-1.35%,respectively,P<0.001).During the same period,the working-years potential of life lost(WYPLL)was 197,579 years,with an average WYPLL(AWYPLL)of 7.83 person-years.The WYPLL in rural areas was 130,083 years(AWYPLL:7.78 person-years),while in urban areas it was 67,496 years(AWYPLL:7.93 person-years).The AWYPLL for the overall population,rural areas,and urban areas also demonstrated a declining trend(AAPC:-2.24%,-2.53%,and -1.72%,respectively,P<0.001). Conclusion From 2004 to 2021,the overall disease burden of cervical cancer among Chinese women was heavy,and its mortality showed an upward trend.However,the life expectancy and work years lost due to cervical cancer declined annually.Middle aged and elderly women aged 50 and above are still the key population for prevention and control,and rural areas are the key areas for prevention and control.In the future,it is necessary to continue exploring suitable comprehensive prevention and control models for cervical cancer to reduce the disease burden.

Key words: cervical cancer, mortality, potential years of life lost, work years of potential life lost, disease burden

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